Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.232792 0.269718 0.310598 0.359213 0.415463 0.478521 0.554604
2025-08-03 0.173849 0.223024 0.283185 0.362224 0.463408 0.588723 0.755945
2025-08-10 0.139484 0.192038 0.260947 0.357964 0.491198 0.668035 0.921129
2025-08-17 0.113882 0.166077 0.238487 0.346348 0.503204 0.723482 1.057300
2025-08-24 0.100629 0.154252 0.232371 0.354568 0.541316 0.816728 1.255338
2025-08-31 0.088585 0.141977 0.223232 0.356017 0.568158 0.895020 1.439214
2025-09-07 0.079654 0.132959 0.217378 0.360952 0.599819 0.982863 1.647011
2025-09-14 0.069857 0.121069 0.205217 0.353709 0.610197 1.036983 1.805300
2025-09-21 0.062441 0.112088 0.196523 0.350760 0.626682 1.101971 1.988246
2025-09-28 0.057162 0.106071 0.191996 0.354161 0.654033 1.187727 2.216539
2025-10-05 0.054683 0.104720 0.195385 0.371887 0.708718 1.327105 2.557494
2025-10-12 0.051720 0.102065 0.196013 0.384392 0.754847 1.455404 2.891974
2025-10-19 0.048707 0.099045 0.195779 0.395557 0.800392 1.588945 3.255453
2025-10-26 0.045059 0.094338 0.191779 0.398884 0.830991 1.697239 3.582463
2025-11-02 0.040992 0.088258 0.184316 0.394191 0.844522 1.772599 3.850142
2025-11-09 0.036625 0.081007 0.173615 0.381397 0.839425 1.808817 4.038585
2025-11-16 0.034702 0.078788 0.173164 0.390451 0.882151 1.950065 4.472175
2025-11-23 0.032332 0.075287 0.169547 0.392047 0.908468 2.058466 4.844699
2025-11-30 0.030486 0.072751 0.167749 0.397483 0.943966 2.190779 5.287390
2025-12-07 0.027847 0.068049 0.160536 0.389505 0.947296 2.250163 5.564678
2025-12-14 0.025786 0.064488 0.155565 0.386256 0.961446 2.336095 5.916161
2025-12-21 0.024351 0.062290 0.153571 0.390002 0.993040 2.466879 6.394256
2025-12-28 0.023944 0.062624 0.157729 0.409528 1.066230 2.706893 7.178304